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About Us

RSQE is a modeling and forecasting unit that has been in operation at the University of Michigan since 1952. Four times a year, RSQE provides forecasts of both the U.S. national economy and the Michigan economy.

Summaries of the latest RSQE forecasts are available on this website. Subscribers to the U.S. forecasts have access to GDP and its major components, unemployment, prices, interest rates, and foreign trade. Michigan update subscribers, additionally, receive forecasts of state employment and income.

The University of Michigan’s Annual Economic Outlook Conference, the longest-running such event in the United States, is put on by RSQE and is held in Ann Arbor each November. The 65th Annual Economic Outlook Conference took place on November 16–17, 2017, in the Rackham Building.

The attendees at the Conference are primarily upper level business and government economists and analysts from all over the country (with the Midwest over-represented) and from all types of industry, plus local academics from the University of Michigan and the nearby region.

RSQE is directed by Gabriel Ehrlich. The professional staff includes Daniil ManaenkovMichael R. McWilliams, and Aditi Thapar. Directors Emeritus George A. Fulton and Saul Hymans continue to advise on the forecasts.

RSQE has twice received the prestigious Blue Chip Annual Economic Forecasting Award, AEFA, recognizing “accuracy, timeliness, and professionalism” in economic forecasting.