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Program and Presentations

The University of Michigan’s

69th Annual Economic Outlook Conference

was held virtually on November 18 and 19, 2021.

The presentation slides are avaiable below.   

Session I: The National & Global Outlook for 2022–2023

8:45 am  Webinar Open
9:00 am

Welcome and Introductions

Saul Hymans, Director of RSQE, Professor of Economics (Emeritus)
Mel Stephens, Professor and Chair of Economics

9:15 am

The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2022–2023 *Presentation slides HERE

Daniil Manaenkov, U.S. Forecasting Specialist, RSQE

9:50 am

The COVID-19 Pandemic: What Is the Endgame, and When Will We Get There?

Marisa Eisenberg, Associate Professor of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan

10:25 am Break
10:40 am

 Inflation Trends During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic *Presentation slides HERE

Rob Cage, Assistant Commissioner for Consumer Prices and Price Indexes, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor

11:15 am

The 2020 Decennial Census: What Have We Learned about the Country? *Presentation slides HERE

Ron Jarmin, Acting Director, U.S. Census Bureau

11:50 am

The Outlook for the Housing Sector *Presentation slides HERE

Daryl Fairweather, Chief Economist, Redfin

12:30 pm

Panel Discussion I: the U.S. Economic Outlook

Morning Speakers

1:10 pm Close Day I

Session II: The Regional Economic Outlook for 2022–2023

8:45 am

Webinar OPEN

8:50 am

Welcome and Introductions

George A. Fulton, Director of RSQE, Research Professor, Economic Growth Institute (Emeritus)
9:00 am

The Michigan Economic Outlook for 2022–2023

Gabriel Ehrlich, Director, RSQE

9:35 am

 

State and Local Government Tax Revenues: Will the Boom Continue?

 

Richard Auxier, Senior Policy Associate, Urban Institute

 

10:10 am Break
10:20 am

Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions

Eric Sims, Professor and Dept. Chair, Michael P. Grace II Collegiate Chair, Dept. of Economics, University of Notre Dame

10:55 am

The Long-Lived Cyclicality of the Labor Force Participation Rate

Joshua Montes, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank

11:30 am

Panel Discussion I: Local Economic Trends

Morning Speakers   

12:00 pm

Panel Discussion II: the Outlook for the Auto Industry

Elaine Buckberg, Chief Economist, General Motors
Kristin Dziczek, Senior Vice President - Research, Center for Automotive Research
Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist, Cox Automotive

12:45 pm Close Day II
8:45 am Webinar OPEN
8:50 am

Welcome and Introductions

George A. Fulton, Director of RSQE, Research Professor, Economic Growth Institute (Emeritus)

9:00 am

The Michigan Economic Outlook for 2022–2023 *Presentation slides HERE

Gabriel Ehrlich, Director, RSQE

9:35 am

State and Local Government Tax Revenues: Will the Boom Continue? *Presentation slides HERE

Richard Auxier, Senior Policy Associate, Urban Institute

10:10 am Break
10:20 am

Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions *Presentation slides HERE

Eric Sims, Professor and Dept. Chair, Michael P. Grace II Collegiate Chair, Dept. of Economics, University of Notre Dame

10:55 am

The Long-Lived Cyclicality of the Labor Force Participation Rate *Presentation slides HERE

Joshua Montes, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank

11:30 am

Panel Discussion I: Local Economic Trends

Morning Speakers

12:00 noon

Panel Discussion II: the Outlook for the Auto Industry

Elaine Buckberg, Chief Economist, General Motors
Kristin Dziczek, Senior Vice President - Research, Center for Automotive Research
Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist, Cox Automotive

12:45 pm Close Day II