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April 22 Update - Dr. Eisenberg presented as part of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer's COVID-19 press conference - Wednesday, April 22 at 3:00pm. You can view the entire press conference HERE.  Professor Eisenberg appears after approximately 19 minutes and 30 seconds.  Marisa was invited to present models of scenarios that could take place as a result of loosening  social distancing and stay-at-home restrictions.  She presented work on behalf of the group (outlined in the article below) that has been modeling for the State Health Department. 

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In a March 26 email, UM President Mark Schlissel recognized those within the University community that are contributing to the COVID-19 knowledge base:

"Many U-M researchers have stepped up to study critical aspects of COVID-19 disease mechanisms and treatment, and faculty in areas including medicine and public health have provided expertise, data, and projections to elected leaders, helping our society to be smarter and better able to slow the pandemic."

Complex Systems, School of Public Health -Epidemiology and Math professor Marisa Eisenberg has been teaching her course CMPLXSYS 530 - Computer Modeling of Complex Systems, online in addition to working around the clock with her team, modelling coronavirus scenarios for the Michigan Department of Health.  You can view the Michigan COVID-19 dashboard they created HERE.  You can also adjust sliders on the 'Social Distancing Scenarios' page to view scenarios based on social distancing time period and contact level parameters. 

 

From the Michigan COVID-19 Modelling Dashboard: "A diagram of the simplest form of our model is shown in Figure 1 .... From the model, we estimated the number of people who need intensive care, ventilators, or oxygen support as a fraction of hospitalized patients."

The University of Michigan Epimath COVID-19 Modeling group is comprised of:

  • Andrew Brouwer, PhD - Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan
  • Sandro Cinti, MD - Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School
  • Jeremy D’Silva - Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan
  • Marisa Eisenberg, PhD - Departments of Epidemiology and Complex Systems, University of Michigan
  • Emily Martin, PhD, MPH - Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan
  • Josh Petrie, PhD, MPH - Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan

Please contact Marisa Eisenberg (marisae@umich.edu), Andrew Brouwer (brouweaf@umich.edu), and Josh Petrie (jpetrie@umich.edu) for more information.