Frequentist/Bayes controversies, homeopathy and (ES)P-values
Roderick J.A. Little Richard D. Remington Distinguished University Professor of Biostatistics, Professor of Statistics, and Research Professor - Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan
I compare and contrast the two predominant philosophies for characterizing empirical uncertainty, frequentist and Bayesian statistics. The frequentist approach, in particular Neyman’s formulation of confidence intervals and Neyman-Pearson significance testing, held sway in much of the last century, but the Bayesian approach has experienced a dramatic revival in recent years. I’ll discuss why. While frequentist ideas remain essential for keeping our models from sending us off the rails, Bayes provides a comprehensive and logical inferential framework for addressing the entire spectrum of uncertainty, from extraterrestrial life to tennis strategy. The P-value debate, homeopathic treatments and ESP are discussed from the Bayesian and frequentist perspectives.
Building: | West Hall |
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Event Type: | Workshop / Seminar |
Tags: | Biostatistics, Complex Systems, Science, seminar, Statistics |
Source: | Happening @ Michigan from The Center for the Study of Complex Systems |